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U.S. House · North Carolina · Nov 3 · 7 days out
North Carolina House, district 8
Mark Harris (Republican, incumbent) against Colby Watson (Democrat).
Where they stand · 42 points apart
Watson is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Mark HarrisrecordColby Watsonestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedHarris$2.3MWatson$53kItemized, named donorsHarris$781kWatson$10kNamed donorsHarris467Watson27Itemized from North CarolinaHarris85%Watson99%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“BACK, BOLDER, AND READY.”
“Election Day is just two weeks away! The choice is clear: common-sense conservative North Carolina values—or crazy leftist communist chaos. Vote Early. Vote Republican!” Harris · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“RESTORE TRUST”
“Set clear, enforceable guardrails around AI.” Watson · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Harris | Kalshi | Republican wins | 95% | 97% | 95% | $3,001 | Open ↗ |
| Mark Harris | Polymarket | Republican wins | 95% | 96% | 96% | $34,163 | Open ↗ |
| Colby Watson | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | $6,451 | Open ↗ |
| Colby Watson | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 3% | 5% | 4% | $23,767 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the North Carolina ballot
All 14 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll