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U.S. House · North Carolina · Nov 3 · 7 days out
North Carolina House, district 12
Alma Adams (Democrat, incumbent) against Jack Codiga (Republican).
Where they stand · 54 points apart
Codiga is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Alma AdamsrecordJack Codigaestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedAdams$465kCodiga$29kItemized, named donorsAdams$94kCodiga$24kNamed donorsAdams94Codiga27Itemized from North CarolinaAdams77%Codiga70%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“ACCESSIBLE. ACCOUNTABLE. EFFECTIVE.”
“This month, I introduced the Forensic Assertive Community Treatment (FACT) Pilot Program Act to close crucial mental health care gaps in the criminal justice system.” Adams · X post · Jul 30 · ↗
“we need to abolish the Federal Reserve and place oversight under the U.S. Treasury.” Codiga · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alma Adams | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 95% | 98% | 96% | $558 | Open ↗ |
| Alma Adams | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 98% | 95% | $17,082 | Open ↗ |
| Jack Codiga | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 5% | 4% | $2,457 | Open ↗ |
| Jack Codiga | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | $49,209 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the North Carolina ballot
All 14 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll