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U.S. House · North Carolina · Nov 3 · 7 days out
North Carolina House, district 11
Jamie Agar (Democrat) against Jennifer Balkcom (Republican).
Where they stand · 58 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Jamie AgarestimateJennifer Balkcomestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedAgar—Balkcom$355kItemized, named donorsAgar—Balkcom$82kNamed donorsAgar—Balkcom79Itemized from North CarolinaAgar—Balkcom66%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamie Agar | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 85% | 86% | 86% | $217,410 | Open ↗ |
| Jamie Agar | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 86% | 88% | 88% | $36,640 | Open ↗ |
| Jennifer Balkcom | Kalshi | Republican wins | 13% | 14% | 13% | $277,229 | Open ↗ |
| Jennifer Balkcom | Polymarket | Republican wins | 11% | 13% | 11% | $40,802 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the North Carolina ballot
All 14 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll