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U.S. House · North Carolina · Nov 3 · 7 days out
North Carolina House, district 10
Pat Harrigan (Republican, incumbent) against Ashley Bell (Democrat).
Where they stand · 61 points apart
Bell is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Pat HarriganrecordAshley Bellestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedHarrigan$1.3MBell$139kItemized, named donorsHarrigan$615kBell$61kNamed donorsHarrigan476Bell96Itemized from North CarolinaHarrigan45%Bell85%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pat Harrigan | Kalshi | Republican wins | 93% | 95% | 93% | $2,565 | Open ↗ |
| Pat Harrigan | Polymarket | Republican wins | 95% | 96% | 95% | $9,171 | Open ↗ |
| Ashley Bell | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | $2,651 | Open ↗ |
| Ashley Bell | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | $6,145 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the North Carolina ballot
All 14 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll