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U.S. House · Maryland · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Maryland House, district 5
Adrian Boafo (Democrat) against Chris Chaffee (Republican).
Where they stand · 61 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Adrian BoafoestimateChris Chaffeeestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedBoafo$1.9MChaffee—Itemized, named donorsBoafo$1.6MChaffee—Named donorsBoafo1,030Chaffee—Itemized from MarylandBoafo18%Chaffee—
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Boafo | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 92% | $269 | Open ↗ |
| Adrian Boafo | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 98% | 98% | $14,891 | Open ↗ |
| Chris Chaffee | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | $297 | Open ↗ |
| Chris Chaffee | Polymarket | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 2% | $9,579 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Maryland ballot
All 8 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll