U.S. House · Maryland · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Maryland House, district 4

Glenn Ivey (Democrat, incumbent) against George McDermott (Republican).

Democrat · incumbent · record Left 33

98%party to win

vs.

Republican · challenger · estimate L-lean 17

<1%party to win

Where they stand · 17 points apart

McDermott is an estimate

Solid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.

Glenn IveyrecordGeorge McDermottestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

3317

17 pts

Foreign policy, trade and defense

3215

17 pts ▸

Housing, transportation, technology and vice

3218

15 pts ▸

FEC to Sep 30

RaisedIvey

$855kMcDermott

—Itemized, named donorsIvey

$326kMcDermott

—Named donorsIvey

282McDermott

—Itemized from MarylandIvey

55%McDermott

—

The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

Campaign sites and X

“Fighting For You.”

“I could not support the current bill.” McDermott · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Glenn Ivey	Kalshi	Democrat wins	98%	>99%	93%	$268	Open ↗
Glenn Ivey	Polymarket	Democrat wins	97%	99%	98%	$21,531	Open ↗
George McDermott	Kalshi	Republican wins	<1%	3%	2%	$561	Open ↗
George McDermott	Polymarket	Republican wins	<1%	<1%	<1%	$26,950	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Maryland ballot

Governor

House · MD-1

House · MD-2

House · MD-3

House · MD-5

House · MD-6

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll