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U.S. House · Maryland · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Maryland House, district 3
Sarah Elfreth (Democrat, incumbent) against Berney Flowers (Republican).
Where they stand · 60 points apart
Flowers is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Sarah ElfrethrecordBerney Flowersestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedElfreth$1.4MFlowers$31kItemized, named donorsElfreth$682kFlowers$18kNamed donorsElfreth582Flowers26Itemized from MarylandElfreth78%Flowers70%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Elfreth | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 94% | 98% | 98% | $1,380 | Open ↗ |
| Sarah Elfreth | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 98% | 96% | $21,372 | Open ↗ |
| Berney Flowers | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 5% | 3% | $957 | Open ↗ |
| Berney Flowers | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | $32,492 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Maryland ballot
All 8 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll