Governor · Maryland · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Maryland Governor

Wes Moore (Democrat, incumbent) against Dan Cox (Republican).

Democrat · incumbent · estimate Left 28

98%▲ 4 since April

vs.

Republican · challenger · estimate Right 33

3%▼ 3 since April

Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸

Where they stand · 61 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Wes MooreestimateDan Coxestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

2833

61 pts

Energy, environment, land and agriculture

3638

73 pts ▸

Federal budget, taxes and spending

1745

63 pts ▸

Immigration

1836

53 pts ▸

Trade and industrial policy

1818

35 pts ▸

Housing, transportation, technology and vice

350

35 pts ▸

Education

2815

13 pts ▸

Campaign sites and X

“Aggressively fight to reduce transportation emissions” Moore · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

“Renew Maryland. Restore Freedom.”

“Stop the bloated spending.” Cox · X post · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Wes Moore	Kalshi	Democrat wins	97%	98%	98%	$15,972	Open ↗
Wes Moore	Polymarket	Democrat wins	97%	98%	98%	$15,114	Open ↗
Dan Cox	Kalshi	Republican wins	2%	3%	3%	$73,868	Open ↗
Dan Cox	Polymarket	Republican wins	1%	3%	2%	$9,302	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Maryland ballot

House · MD-1

House · MD-2

House · MD-3

House · MD-4

House · MD-5

House · MD-6

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll