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U.S. House · Kansas · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Kansas House, district 1
Tracey Mann (Republican, incumbent) against Lauren Reinhold (Democrat).
Where they stand · 48 points apart
Reinhold is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Tracey MannrecordLauren Reinholdestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedMann$1.8MReinhold$48kItemized, named donorsMann$360kReinhold$30kNamed donorsMann347Reinhold50Itemized from KansasMann51%Reinhold48%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“The Conservative You Can Trust”
“New investments are paired with responsible revenue, ineffective programs are sunset” Reinhold · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tracey Mann | Kalshi | Republican wins | 94% | 95% | 96% | $1,050 | Open ↗ |
| Tracey Mann | Polymarket | Republican wins | 95% | 97% | 97% | $6,621 | Open ↗ |
| Lauren Reinhold | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 5% | 6% | 6% | $4,243 | Open ↗ |
| Lauren Reinhold | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | $30,563 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Kansas ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll