Governor · Kansas · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Kansas Governor

Ty Masterson (Republican) against Cindy Holscher (Democrat). Masterson is up 13 points on the markets since April.

Republican · challenger · estimate Right 35

76%▲ 13 since April

vs.

Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 29

26%▼ 7 since April

Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸

Where they stand · 64 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Ty MastersonestimateCindy Holscherestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

3529

64 pts

Education

4540

85 pts ▸

Federal budget, taxes and spending

4023

63 pts ▸

Immigration

4518

63 pts ▸

Health care

2833

60 pts ▸

Crime and justice

2513

38 pts ▸

Civil rights, gender and religion

1223

35 pts ▸

Campaign sites and X

“Take Back Kansas”

“BANNED sanctuary cities in Kansas” Masterson · X post · Jan 30 · ↗

“Common Sense and Lower Costs”

“We should be expanding access to higher education, not putting up more barriers.” Holscher · X post · Jan 29 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Ty Masterson	Kalshi	Republican wins	75%	76%	76%	$147,822	Open ↗
Ty Masterson	Polymarket	Republican wins	71%	74%	73%	$62,420	Open ↗
Cindy Holscher	Kalshi	Democrat wins	25%	26%	26%	$78,464	Open ↗
Cindy Holscher	Polymarket	Democrat wins	26%	28%	27%	$42,112	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Kansas ballot

Senate

House · KS-1

House · KS-2

House · KS-3

House · KS-4

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll