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U.S. House · Illinois · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Illinois House, district 8
Melissa Bean (Democrat) against Jennifer Davis (Republican).
Where they stand · 54 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Melissa BeanestimateJennifer Davisestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedBean$2.4MDavis$1.7MItemized, named donorsBean$1.6MDavis$600kNamed donorsBean958Davis388Itemized from IllinoisBean47%Davis58%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melissa Bean | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 94% | 96% | 96% | $1,804 | Open ↗ |
| Melissa Bean | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 94% | 96% | 96% | $9,976 | Open ↗ |
| Jennifer Davis | Kalshi | Republican wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | $7,015 | Open ↗ |
| Jennifer Davis | Polymarket | Republican wins | 3% | 6% | 5% | $12,854 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Illinois ballot
All 18 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll