U.S. House · Illinois · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Illinois House, district 17

Eric Sorensen (Democrat, incumbent) against Dillan Vancil (Republican).

Democrat · incumbent · record L-lean 17

96%party to win

vs.

Republican · challenger · estimate Right 26

2%party to win

Where they stand · 43 points apart

Vancil is an estimate

Solid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.

Eric SorensenrecordDillan Vancilestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

1726

43 pts

Business, finance and labor

1530

45 pts ▸

Federal budget, taxes and spending

1817

35 pts ▸

FEC to Sep 30

RaisedSorensen

$2.6MVancil

$398kItemized, named donorsSorensen

$1.2MVancil

$224kNamed donorsSorensen

913Vancil

282Itemized from IllinoisSorensen

44%Vancil

82%

The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

Campaign sites and X

“Your Trusted Neighbor in Congress”

“Pro tip: don’t vote for anyone who mispronounces the word nuclear.” Sorensen · X post · Oct 16 · ↗

“In Congress Dillan will push for funding to help Illinois Students” Vancil · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Eric Sorensen	Kalshi	Democrat wins	94%	96%	94%	$3,998	Open ↗
Eric Sorensen	Polymarket	Democrat wins	96%	97%	96%	$15,126	Open ↗
Dillan Vancil	Kalshi	Republican wins	4%	5%	4%	$4,276	Open ↗
Dillan Vancil	Polymarket	Republican wins	3%	4%	2%	$17,304	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Illinois ballot

Senate · open seat

Governor

House · IL-1

House · IL-2

House · IL-3

House · IL-4

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll