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U.S. House · Illinois · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Illinois House, district 15
Mary Miller (Republican, incumbent) against Jennifer Todd (Democrat).
Where they stand · 65 points apart
Todd is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Mary MillerrecordJennifer Toddestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedMiller$1.8MTodd$199kItemized, named donorsMiller$569kTodd$97kNamed donorsMiller1,501Todd175Itemized from IllinoisMiller64%Todd98%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Illinois Democrats owe us answers for the ballot fiasco and disrupted early voting. I’m demanding immediate accountability for Illinois voters.” Miller · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“A Nurse. A Mom. A Fighter.”
“I will defend and strengthen Medicare and Medicaid” Todd · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Miller | Kalshi | Republican wins | 94% | 96% | 95% | $1,782 | Open ↗ |
| Mary Miller | Polymarket | Republican wins | 96% | 97% | 97% | $25,105 | Open ↗ |
| Jennifer Todd | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 4% | 6% | 7% | $2,681 | Open ↗ |
| Jennifer Todd | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | $25,330 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Illinois ballot
All 18 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll