Marty Jackley
Candidate · U.S. House · South Dakota
Republican · Challenger96%
Party to win · Kalshi, Oct 27, 2026
Running for
OfficeU.S. House
SeatSouth Dakota, at-large
AgainstNikki Gronli (D)
ElectionNov 3, 2026 · 7 days
StandingChallenger
BallotDirectory listing
Links
The district
SD-AL · South Dakota
Roster checked Sep 29, 2026. Listed as: Attorney General & Ex-US Attorney.
The campaign · in their wordsmartyjackley.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗
“A proven fighter for South Dakota”
Plank 1 · campaign site
Crime & public safety
“In Congress I will back our police, sheriffs, and prosecutors with the tools and the respect they have earned.”
Plank 2 · campaign site
Border & immigration
“Secure the border, finish the wall, and let law enforcement do its job.”
Plank 3 · campaign site
Agriculture
“I will fight for fair markets, honest trade, and less Washington red tape.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's own site, unedited. 15 pages read.
Where They Stand
Statement estimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words, on the same scale as a member’s record.
Overall
from 4 statements
Rt-lean
Issue · by emphasisLeftCenterRightReadTalks about
The race · South Dakota House, at-large · 7 days out
Marty JackleyRepublican · challenger · Rt-lean 12 from statements96%
Nikki GronliDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 22 from statements4%1222
34 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
$1.7M
Raised
$1.4M
From individuals
Named donors · gifts over $200
$1.4M
Itemized · 98% of individual
797
Named donors
90%
Itemized from South Dakota
By occupation
$299k
$117k
$114k
$94k
$75k
By state
$1.3M
$17k
$16k
$14k
$14k
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“In Congress I will work with @POTUS to fight illegal immigration!”
“Secure the border, finish the wall, and let law enforcement do its job.”
“Senate Bill 44, my bill designed to protect children from human traffickers and online predators”
On the ballot with them · South Dakota, Nov 3, 2026
SD Senate
Mike Rounds (R) · 95%
vs. Brian Bengs (I) · 5%
SD Governor
Larry Rhoden (R) · 96%
vs. Dan Ahlers (D) · 2%
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll
Marty Jackley
Candidate · U.S. House · South Dakota
Republican · Challenger96%
Party to win · Kalshi
Oct 27, 2026 snapshot
7
Days to Nov 3
vs. Gronli (D)
The campaign · in their wordsRead Oct 19, 2026 ↗
“A proven fighter for South Dakota”
Plank 1
Crime & public safety
“In Congress I will back our police, sheriffs, and prosecutors with the tools and the respect they have earned.”
Plank 2
Border & immigration
“Secure the border, finish the wall, and let law enforcement do its job.”
Plank 3
Agriculture
“I will fight for fair markets, honest trade, and less Washington red tape.”
Page titles and first lines from the campaign's site, unedited · martyjackley.com
Where They Stand
EstimateNo votes yet, so this is read from the campaign’s own words.
Issue · by emphasisRead · talks about
ImmigrationRight 45
Right, 45 points from center
Crime and justiceL-lean 19
L-lean, 19 points from center
GunsRight 35
Right, 35 points from center
Energy and landRight 23
Right, 23 points from center
Housing and techL-lean 18
L-lean, 18 points from center
The race · SD-AL · 7 days out
Marty JackleyRepublican · challenger · Rt-lean 12 from statements96%Nikki GronliDemocrat · challenger · L-lean 22 from statements4%1222
Hollow = estimate from statements · solid = voting record
Money · FEC through Sep 30, 2026
Raised, 2026
From individuals
Itemized · 98% of individual
Named donors
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
“In Congress I will work with @POTUS to fight illegal immigration!”
“Secure the border, finish the wall, and let law enforcement do its job.”
“Senate Bill 44, my bill designed to protect children from human traffickers and online predators”
On the ballot with them · South Dakota
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll