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U.S. House · South Carolina · Nov 3 · 7 days out
South Carolina House, district 7
Russell Fry (Republican, incumbent) against John Vincent (Democrat).
Where they stand · 63 points apart
Vincent is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Russell FryrecordJohn Vincentestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedFry$2MVincent$573kItemized, named donorsFry$720kVincent$230kNamed donorsFry418Vincent358Itemized from South CarolinaFry59%Vincent75%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“People Over Politics”
“Fully fund the IRS to close the estimated $696 billion annual 'tax gap'” Vincent · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russell Fry | Kalshi | Republican wins | 95% | 95% | 95% | $15,604 | Open ↗ |
| Russell Fry | Polymarket | Republican wins | 94% | 96% | 94% | $21,714 | Open ↗ |
| John Vincent | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 5% | 6% | 5% | $32,587 | Open ↗ |
| John Vincent | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | $37,222 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the South Carolina ballot
All 8 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll