Governor · South Carolina · Nov 3 · 7 days out

South Carolina Governor

Alan Wilson (Republican) against Jermaine Johnson (Democrat).

Republican · challenger · estimate Right 39

95%▲ 3 since April

vs.

Democrat · challenger · estimate L-lean 22

6%▼ 1 since April

Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸

Where they stand · 60 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Alan WilsonestimateJermaine Johnsonestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

3922

60 pts

Civil rights, gender and religion

4525

70 pts ▸

Federal budget, taxes and spending

4518

63 pts ▸

Crime and justice

4115

56 pts ▸

Business, finance and labor

3718

20 pts ▸

Campaign sites and X

“Defending Our Freedoms”

“Eliminate the state income tax” Wilson · X post · Apr 30 · ↗

“After 20+ years of single party rule, South Carolinians Deserve More.”

“puts that tax revenue to work funding Medicaid expansion” Johnson · X post · Jul 29 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Alan Wilson	Kalshi	Republican wins	94%	94%	95%	$20,984	Open ↗
Alan Wilson	Polymarket	Republican wins	94%	94%	97%	$22,622	Open ↗
Jermaine Johnson	Kalshi	Democrat wins	5%	7%	6%	$38,201	Open ↗
Jermaine Johnson	Polymarket	Democrat wins	5%	6%	6%	$13,939	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the South Carolina ballot

Senate

House · SC-1

House · SC-2

House · SC-3

House · SC-4

House · SC-5

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll