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U.S. House · South Carolina · Nov 3 · 7 days out
South Carolina House, district 4
William Timmons (Republican, incumbent) against Courtney McClain (Democrat).
Where they stand · 61 points apart
McClain is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
William TimmonsrecordCourtney McClainestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedTimmons$1.7MMcClain$100kItemized, named donorsTimmons$285kMcClain$0Named donorsTimmons132McClain0Itemized from South CarolinaTimmons40%McClain0%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Jaime Harrison said the same thing six years ago. He spent over $130 million just to lose by more than 10 points. The SCGOP has a proven record of winning, and that record will continue on November 3rd!” Timmons · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“Let's Elevate the Upstate”
“Fully fund the IRS and empower staff to hold the rich who cut corners accountable” McClain · Campaign site · Invalid Date · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Timmons | Kalshi | Republican wins | 95% | 96% | 96% | $5,255 | Open ↗ |
| William Timmons | Polymarket | Republican wins | 95% | 96% | 94% | $22,971 | Open ↗ |
| Courtney McClain | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | $2,885 | Open ↗ |
| Courtney McClain | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 3% | 5% | 3% | $25,516 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the South Carolina ballot
All 8 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll