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U.S. Senate · Rhode Island · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Rhode Island Senate

Jack Reed (Democrat, incumbent) against Ray McKay (Republican).

Jack Reed
Democrat · incumbent · record Left 23
99%▲ 4 since April
vs.
Ray McKay
Republican · challenger · estimate Right 28
2%▼ 2 since April
100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTTODAY
100%75%50%25%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPTODAY
Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸
Also running

Where they stand · 51 points apart

McKay is an estimate

Solid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.

Jack ReedrecordRay McKayestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
2328
51 pts

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedReed
$3.6MMcKay
$196kItemized, named donorsReed
$2.2MMcKay
$91kNamed donorsReed
1,397McKay
173Itemized from Rhode IslandReed
28%McKay
18%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“DELIVERED: $7.6M in federal investments to advance 30 new affordable, accessible homes here in West Warwick. Thanks to @WDC_HOC and partners for helping neighbors & strengthening neighborhoods.” Reed · X post · Oct 19 · ↗

“RIGHT DIRECTION.”

“efficiently utilizing green energy solutions” McKay · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Jack ReedKalshiDemocrat wins99%99%99%$19,985Open ↗
Jack ReedPolymarketDemocrat wins97%99%99%$7,652Open ↗
Ray McKayKalshiRepublican wins1%2%2%$20,524Open ↗
Ray McKayPolymarketRepublican wins1%2%3%$19,055Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Rhode Island ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll