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U.S. House · Rhode Island · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Rhode Island House, district 2
Seth Magaziner (Democrat, incumbent) against Vic Mellor (Republican).
Where they stand · 58 points apart
Mellor is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Seth MagazinerrecordVic Mellorestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedMagaziner$1.6MMellor$3.6MItemized, named donorsMagaziner$774kMellor$28kNamed donorsMagaziner575Mellor27Itemized from Rhode IslandMagaziner70%Mellor55%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Happy Birthday, @SenWhitehouse! I am thankful to serve with you to deliver for Rhode Islanders across our state.” Magaziner · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“Independent. Unbought. Built in Rhode Island.”
“H.R. 10015 ... Expanded Health Savings Accounts” Mellor · X post · Sep 15 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seth Magaziner | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 93% | 94% | 94% | $5,587 | Open ↗ |
| Seth Magaziner | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 95% | 95% | $28,110 | Open ↗ |
| Vic Mellor | Kalshi | Republican wins | 6% | 7% | 7% | $37,102 | Open ↗ |
| Vic Mellor | Polymarket | Republican wins | 4% | 5% | 5% | $34,406 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Rhode Island ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll