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Governor · Rhode Island · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Rhode Island Governor

Helena Foulkes (Democrat) against Ken Block (Independent). Block is down 5 points on the markets since April.

Helena Foulkes
Democrat · challenger · estimate L-lean 19
95%▲ 4 since April
vs.
Ken Block
Independent · challenger · estimate Right 32
6%▼ 5 since April
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100%75%50%25%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPTODAY
Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸
Also running

Where they stand · 50 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Helena FoulkesestimateKen Blockestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
1932
50 pts

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“Competence. Courage. Caring.”

“Believe in Rhode Island Part 1 $100 Million Proposal for Career and Technical Education” Foulkes · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

“A Stronger Future for Rhode Island”

“If passed by the legislature, Ken will veto a Millionaires Tax.” Block · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 3
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Helena FoulkesKalshiDemocrat wins95%95%95%$40,275Open ↗
Helena FoulkesPolymarketDemocrat wins95%97%96%$60,441Open ↗
Ken BlockKalshithis candidate4%5%6%$35,225Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Rhode Island ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll