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U.S. House · Ohio · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Ohio House, district 6
Michael Rulli (Republican, incumbent) against Elizabeth Kirtley (Democrat).
Where they stand · 57 points apart
Kirtley is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Michael RullirecordElizabeth Kirtleyestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedRulli$1.4MKirtley$10kItemized, named donorsRulli$263kKirtley$5kNamed donorsRulli212Kirtley9Itemized from OhioRulli38%Kirtley34%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“BUSINESSMAN. FATHER. CONSERVATIVE.”
“Democratic Socialists keep telling us socialism just hasn’t been done right yet. Meanwhile they’re pointing at economies that collapsed trying to prove it.” Rulli · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“~ Together We Rise”
“ICE needs to be abolished. I would enact legislation that not only abolishes ICE.” Kirtley · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Rulli | Kalshi | Republican wins | 96% | 98% | 96% | $2,343 | Open ↗ |
| Michael Rulli | Polymarket | Republican wins | 95% | 98% | 96% | $25,897 | Open ↗ |
| Elizabeth Kirtley | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 2% | 5% | 4% | $7,998 | Open ↗ |
| Elizabeth Kirtley | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 2% | 5% | 3% | $56,879 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Ohio ballot
All 16 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll