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U.S. Senate · Ohio · special election · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Ohio Senate
Sherrod Brown (Democrat) against Jon Husted (Republican, incumbent). Brown is up 10 points on the markets since April.
Also running
Where they stand · 45 points apart
Brown is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Sherrod BrownestimateJon Hustedrecord
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedBrown$61.7MHusted$19.2MItemized, named donorsBrown$31MHusted$6.3MNamed donorsBrown49,523Husted6,237Itemized from OhioBrown34%Husted33%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sherrod Brown | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 67% | 68% | 68% | $4,343,194 | Open ↗ |
| Sherrod Brown | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 69% | 70% | 70% | $1,075,819 | Open ↗ |
| Jon Husted | Kalshi | Republican wins | 32% | 33% | 32% | $4,269,035 | Open ↗ |
| Jon Husted | Polymarket | Republican wins | 29% | 31% | 30% | $775,344 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Ohio ballot
All 16 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll