U.S. House · Ohio · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Ohio House, district 4

Jim Jordan (Republican, incumbent) against Josh Kolasinski (Democrat).

Republican · incumbent · record Right 33

95%party to win

vs.

Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 23

5%party to win

Where they stand · 56 points apart

Kolasinski is an estimate

Solid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.

Jim JordanrecordJosh Kolasinskiestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

3323

56 pts

Foreign policy, trade and defense

3225

57 pts ▸

Education

3225

57 pts ▸

Trade and industrial policy

3618

53 pts ▸

FEC to Sep 30

RaisedJordan

$5.6MKolasinski

$25kItemized, named donorsJordan

$1.6MKolasinski

$3kNamed donorsJordan

3,053Kolasinski

8Itemized from OhioJordan

23%Kolasinski

90%

The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

Campaign sites and X

“Virginia sanctuary county ignores 1,670 detainer requests over 2 years, House Judiciary Committee finds” Jordan · X post · Oct 20 · ↗

“Your Voice. Real Power.”

“Support trade schools and community colleges” Kolasinski · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Jim Jordan	Kalshi	Republican wins	95%	97%	96%	$587	Open ↗
Jim Jordan	Polymarket	Republican wins	94%	96%	95%	$9,663	Open ↗
Josh Kolasinski	Kalshi	Democrat wins	3%	5%	5%	$2,398	Open ↗
Josh Kolasinski	Polymarket	Democrat wins	4%	6%	5%	$13,876	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Ohio ballot

Senate

Governor · open seat

House · OH-1

House · OH-2

House · OH-3

House · OH-5

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll