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U.S. House · Ohio · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Ohio House, district 12
Troy Balderson (Republican, incumbent) against Jerrad Christian (Democrat).
Where they stand · 63 points apart
Christian is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Troy BaldersonrecordJerrad Christianestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedBalderson$2.1MChristian$131kItemized, named donorsBalderson$755kChristian$43kNamed donorsBalderson464Christian117Itemized from OhioBalderson71%Christian90%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Thanks to the team at Pickerington Surgery Center for taking the time to meet with me and share more about the work they do to care for patients in Pickerington and the surrounding communities.” Balderson · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“We need Medicare for All.” Christian · X post · Jun 9 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Balderson | Kalshi | Republican wins | 95% | 96% | 96% | $4,548 | Open ↗ |
| Troy Balderson | Polymarket | Republican wins | 94% | 96% | 95% | $24,721 | Open ↗ |
| Jerrad Christian | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 5% | 5% | 5% | $5,791 | Open ↗ |
| Jerrad Christian | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 3% | 6% | 5% | $15,232 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Ohio ballot
All 16 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll