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U.S. House · Ohio · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Ohio House, district 10

Mike Turner (Republican, incumbent) against Kristina Knickerbocker (Democrat).

Mike Turner
Republican · incumbent · estimate Right 24
71%party to win
vs.
Kristina Knickerbocker
Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 28
28%party to win

Where they stand · 52 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Mike TurnerestimateKristina Knickerbockerestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
2428
52 pts

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedTurner
$1.2MKnickerbocker
$883kItemized, named donorsTurner
$493kKnickerbocker
$570kNamed donorsTurner
238Knickerbocker
474Itemized from OhioTurner
67%Knickerbocker
25%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“OUR JOBS. OUR FAMILIES.”

“Turner has always supported our law enforcement and those who keep us safe.” Turner · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

“Let's win this!”

“defend reproductive healthcare” Knickerbocker · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Mike TurnerKalshiRepublican wins71%72%71%$107,666Open ↗
Mike TurnerPolymarketRepublican wins70%73%72%$34,635Open ↗
Kristina KnickerbockerKalshiDemocrat wins28%29%28%$99,383Open ↗
Kristina KnickerbockerPolymarketDemocrat wins27%30%28%$30,388Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Ohio ballot
All 16 →
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll