← All races
U.S. Senate · Maine · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Maine Senate
Troy Jackson (Democrat) against Susan Collins (Republican, incumbent). Jackson is up 27 points on the markets since July.
Where they stand · 39 points apart
Jackson is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Troy JacksonestimateSusan Collinsrecord
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedJackson$20.4MCollins$21.4MItemized, named donorsJackson$11MCollins$11MNamed donorsJackson13,375Collins9,544Itemized from MaineJackson15%Collins11%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“MAINER BY BIRTH. LOGGER BY TRADE. SENATOR FOR THE PEOPLE.”
“Dismantle and abolish ICE.” Jackson · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
“A Proven Leader for Maine”
“Thank you to the Snowman Group for showing me around their Hermon facility today. I’ll keep working to make sure Maine manufacturers have the support they need to grow and create good jobs here at home.” Collins · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 6
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Jackson | Kalshi | this candidate | 60% | 61% | 60% | $829,180 | Open ↗ |
| Troy Jackson | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 61% | 62% | 62% | $4,811,838 | Open ↗ |
| Troy Jackson | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 61% | 63% | 62% | $1,491,181 | Open ↗ |
| Susan Collins | Kalshi | this candidate | 40% | 41% | 41% | $1,094,161 | Open ↗ |
| Susan Collins | Kalshi | Republican wins | 38% | 39% | 39% | $6,261,187 | Open ↗ |
| Susan Collins | Polymarket | Republican wins | 37% | 38% | 38% | $1,275,254 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Maine ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll