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Governor · Maine · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Maine Governor

Hannah Pingree (Democrat) against Bobby Charles (Republican). Pingree is up 12 points on the markets since April.

Hannah Pingree
Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 34
96%▲ 12 since April
vs.
Bobby Charles
Republican · challenger · estimate Right 42
6%▼ 8 since April
100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTTODAY
100%75%50%25%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPTODAY
Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸
Also running

Where they stand · 76 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Hannah PingreeestimateBobby Charlesestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
3442
76 pts

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“Maine's Future Is Worth The Fight.”

“Maine must adequately fund public education” Pingree · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗

“Fully fund and rebuild law enforcement” Charles · X post · Mar 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 5
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Hannah PingreeKalshiDemocrat wins95%96%96%$85,709Open ↗
Hannah PingreePolymarketDemocrat wins95%96%96%$34,287Open ↗
Bobby CharlesKalshiRepublican wins5%6%6%$110,894Open ↗
Bobby CharlesPolymarketRepublican wins3%5%5%$12,171Open ↗
Rick BennettKalshithis candidate<1%1%2%$5,032Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Maine ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll