U.S. House · Massachusetts · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Massachusetts House, district 9

Bill Keating (Democrat, incumbent) against Tyler Macallister (Republican).

Bill Keating

Democrat · incumbent · estimate Left 25

97%party to win

vs.

Tyler Macallister

Republican · challenger · no positions yet

2%party to win

Where they stand

Estimates

Read from the campaign’s own words; no voting record yet.

Bill Keatingestimate

IssueLeftCenterRight

Overall

Federal budget, taxes and spending

▸

Trade and industrial policy

▸

Health care

▸

Immigration

▸

Guns

▸

Energy, environment, land and agriculture

▸

Housing, transportation, technology and vice

▸

Money

FEC to Sep 30

RaisedKeating

$535kMacallister

$213kItemized, named donorsKeating

$250kMacallister

$176kNamed donorsKeating

244Macallister

166Itemized from MassachusettsKeating

77%Macallister

80%

The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“We must prioritize common-sense measures like the Assault Weapons Ban” Keating · X post · Oct 9 · ↗

“Local Roots. Common Sense Results.”

“No industrial wind farms in our fishing grounds” Macallister · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Bill Keating	Kalshi	Democrat wins	96%	98%	98%	$52	Open ↗
Bill Keating	Polymarket	Democrat wins	95%	99%	97%	$11,520	Open ↗
Tyler Macallister	Kalshi	Republican wins	1%	4%	7%	$902	Open ↗
Tyler Macallister	Polymarket	Republican wins	1%	3%	2%	$19,026	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Massachusetts ballot

All 10 →

Senate

Markey (D) 98% · Deaton (R) 2%

Governor

Healey (D) 95% · Minogue (R) 5%

House · MA-1

Neal (D) 97%

House · MA-2

McGovern (D) 98%

House · MA-3

Trahan (D) 98% · Grossi (R) 1%

House · MA-4

Auchincloss (D) 97% · Stalcup (R) 2%

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll