Governor · Massachusetts · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Massachusetts Governor

Maura Healey (Democrat, incumbent) against Mike Minogue (Republican). Minogue is down 6 points on the markets since April.

Democrat · incumbent · estimate Left 28

95%▲ 5 since April

vs.

Republican · challenger · estimate Right 24

5%▼ 6 since April

Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸

Also running

Where they stand · 52 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Maura HealeyestimateMike Minogueestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

2824

52 pts

Immigration

2840

68 pts ▸

Energy, environment, land and agriculture

1837

55 pts ▸

Federal budget, taxes and spending

1338

50 pts ▸

Trade and industrial policy

2823

50 pts ▸

Education

4338

5 pts ▸

Campaign sites and X

“Doubled per-pupil education funding” Healey · X post · Oct 8 · ↗

“A New Kind of Governor For Massachusetts”

“Streamline regulations.” Minogue · X post · May 7 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Maura Healey	Kalshi	Democrat wins	95%	96%	95%	$524,590	Open ↗
Maura Healey	Polymarket	Democrat wins	95%	96%	96%	$60,298	Open ↗
Mike Minogue	Kalshi	Republican wins	5%	5%	5%	$1,952,982	Open ↗
Mike Minogue	Polymarket	Republican wins	4%	5%	6%	$102,135	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Massachusetts ballot

Senate

House · MA-1

House · MA-2

House · MA-3

House · MA-4

House · MA-5

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll