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U.S. House · Massachusetts · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Massachusetts House, district 8
Stephen Lynch (Democrat, incumbent) against Rob Burke (Republican).
Where they stand · 51 points apart
Burke is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Stephen LynchrecordRob Burkeestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedLynch$1MBurke$2kItemized, named donorsLynch$581kBurke$0Named donorsLynch517Burke0Itemized from MassachusettsLynch91%Burke0%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“IN TIMES LIKE THESE, WE NEED A GUY LIKE HIM.”
“My model is to mass deport them all out …No Exceptions, Period!!!!!” Burke · X post · Aug 12 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Lynch | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 96% | 98% | 95% | $407 | Open ↗ |
| Stephen Lynch | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 93% | 98% | 96% | $14,859 | Open ↗ |
| Rob Burke | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 4% | 4% | $214 | Open ↗ |
| Rob Burke | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | $13,321 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Massachusetts ballot
All 10 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll