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U.S. Senate · Idaho · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Idaho Senate
Jim Risch (Republican, incumbent) against Todd Achilles (Independent).
Where they stand · 48 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Jim RischestimateTodd Achillesestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedRisch$3.8MAchilles$1.6MItemized, named donorsRisch$2MAchilles$1.1MNamed donorsRisch1,227Achilles1,245Itemized from IdahoRisch14%Achilles58%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jim Risch | Kalshi | Republican wins | 96% | 96% | 96% | $448,914 | Open ↗ |
| Jim Risch | Polymarket | Republican wins | 95% | 97% | 95% | $265,551 | Open ↗ |
| Todd Achilles | Kalshi | this candidate | 4% | 5% | 5% | $445,636 | Open ↗ |
| Todd Achilles | Polymarket | this candidate | 3% | 5% | 5% | $142,995 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Idaho ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll