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Governor · Idaho · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Idaho Governor

Brad Little (Republican, incumbent) against Terri Pickens (Democrat).

Brad Little
Republican · incumbent · estimate Right 35
97%▲ 2 since April
vs.
Terri Pickens
Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 32
3%party to win
100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTTODAY
100%75%50%25%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPTODAY
Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸
Also running

Where they stand · 67 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Brad LittleestimateTerri Pickensestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
3532
67 pts

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“Experienced Leadership Idaho Can Trust”

“Idaho has led the way in cutting red tape and streamlining regulations to support economic growth.” Little · X post · Oct 2 · ↗

“It's time for new leadership in Idaho.”

“Repealing the school voucher scheme” Pickens · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Brad LittleKalshiRepublican wins97%97%97%$5,440Open ↗
Brad LittlePolymarketRepublican wins97%98%97%$22,578Open ↗
Terri PickensKalshiDemocrat wins2%3%3%$4,279Open ↗
Terri PickensPolymarketDemocrat wins1%3%3%$4,387Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Idaho ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll