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U.S. House · Idaho · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Idaho House, district 2
Mike Simpson (Republican, incumbent) against Ellie Gilbreath (Democrat).
Where they stand
EstimatesRead from the campaign’s own words; no voting record yet.
Mike Simpsonestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedSimpson$1.3MGilbreath$161kItemized, named donorsSimpson$508kGilbreath$126kNamed donorsSimpson327Gilbreath140Itemized from IdahoSimpson35%Gilbreath66%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Build the Wall & Secure the Border”
“I am fighting to build the wall, add more border patrol agents, and stop Biden’s…” Simpson · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Simpson | Kalshi | Republican wins | 94% | 97% | 98% | $2,840 | Open ↗ |
| Mike Simpson | Polymarket | Republican wins | 97% | 98% | 94% | $17,853 | Open ↗ |
| Ellie Gilbreath | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 3% | 4% | 4% | $4,623 | Open ↗ |
| Ellie Gilbreath | Polymarket | Democrat wins | <1% | 3% | 6% | $25,532 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Idaho ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll