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U.S. House · Hawaii · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Hawaii House, district 1
Ed Case (Democrat, incumbent) against Adriel Lam (Republican).
Where they stand
From their voting record.
Ed Caserecord
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedCase$1.3MLam—Itemized, named donorsCase$660kLam—Named donorsCase397Lam—Itemized from HawaiiCase31%Lam—
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Lokahi, Aloha, Malama”
“Here it is again, in plain view.” Lam · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed Case | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 97% | 99% | 96% | $23 | Open ↗ |
| Ed Case | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 95% | 98% | 97% | $17,686 | Open ↗ |
| Adriel Lam | Kalshi | Republican wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | $95 | Open ↗ |
| Adriel Lam | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 4% | 3% | $36,497 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Hawaii ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll