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Governor · Hawaii · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Hawaii Governor
Josh Green (Democrat, incumbent) against Gary Cordery (Republican).
Where they stand · 49 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Josh GreenestimateGary Corderyestimate
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Trusted, Caring Leadership”
“a small portion of visitor lodging taxes should help pay for climate resilience... 0.75% added to the state’s Transient Accommodations Tax” Green · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
“PEOPLE OVER POWER”
“Eliminate the General Excise Tax (GET) on food and medicine.” Cordery · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Green | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 97% | 99% | 98% | $10,443 | Open ↗ |
| Josh Green | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 96% | 99% | 98% | $8,041 | Open ↗ |
| Gary Cordery | Kalshi | Republican wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | $11,854 | Open ↗ |
| Gary Cordery | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 2% | 1% | $9,898 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Hawaii ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll