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U.S. House · Colorado · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Colorado House, district 8
Manny Rutinel (Democrat) against Gabe Evans (Republican, incumbent).
Where they stand · 38 points apart
Rutinel is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Manny RutinelestimateGabe Evansrecord
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedRutinel$8.6MEvans$6.9MItemized, named donorsRutinel$4.3MEvans$1.8MNamed donorsRutinel4,595Evans2,387Itemized from ColoradoRutinel21%Evans42%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“requiring notice before AI-driven layoffs at large employers” Rutinel · X post · Sep 15 · ↗
“FIGHT BACK FOR COLORADO”
“I spent my 20s serving our country in the U.S. Army. Here's what Manny did in his 20s. This November 3rd, it's common sense vs. crazy.” Evans · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manny Rutinel | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 84% | 85% | 85% | $17,897 | Open ↗ |
| Manny Rutinel | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 84% | 86% | 86% | $15,519 | Open ↗ |
| Gabe Evans | Kalshi | Republican wins | 14% | 16% | 16% | $25,305 | Open ↗ |
| Gabe Evans | Polymarket | Republican wins | 13% | 16% | 14% | $16,320 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Colorado ballot
All 9 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll