U.S. House · Colorado · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Colorado House, district 1

Melat Kiros (Democrat) against Christy Peterson (Republican).

Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 44

96%party to win

vs.

Republican · challenger · estimate Right 33

2%party to win

Where they stand · 77 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Melat KirosestimateChristy Petersonestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

4433

77 pts

Immigration

4539

84 pts ▸

Federal budget, taxes and spending

4533

78 pts ▸

Crime and justice

3328

60 pts ▸

FEC to Sep 30

RaisedKiros

$1.3MPeterson

$7kItemized, named donorsKiros

$678kPeterson

$3kNamed donorsKiros

880Peterson

7Itemized from ColoradoKiros

34%Peterson

82%

The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

Campaign sites and X

“We must Abolish ICE.” Kiros · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

“We want a safe, strong, smart Colorado.”

“We Welcome ICE to Colorado” Peterson · X post · Jan 14 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Melat Kiros	Kalshi	Democrat wins	97%	>99%	>99%	$1,153	Open ↗
Melat Kiros	Polymarket	Democrat wins	98%	99%	96%	$16,973	Open ↗
Christy Peterson	Kalshi	Republican wins	1%	3%	2%	$1,299	Open ↗
Christy Peterson	Polymarket	Republican wins	1%	2%	2%	$26,847	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Colorado ballot

Senate

Governor · open seat

House · CO-2

House · CO-3

House · CO-4

House · CO-5

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll