← All races
U.S. Senate · Colorado · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Colorado Senate
John Hickenlooper (Democrat, incumbent) against Mark Baisley (Republican).
Where they stand · 53 points apart
Baisley is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
John HickenlooperrecordMark Baisleyestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedHickenlooper$9.3MBaisley$138kItemized, named donorsHickenlooper$4.9MBaisley$98kNamed donorsHickenlooper4,783Baisley77Itemized from ColoradoHickenlooper29%Baisley93%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Day four of the @coloradodems bus tour wrapped up with a visit to Colorado Springs where we got to see our friend @killinforco and of course the El Paso County Dems! Thanks for saying hello.” Hickenlooper · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“Securing the Promise of America”
“he will fight to cut federal taxes” Baisley · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Hickenlooper | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 97% | 99% | 98% | $16,741 | Open ↗ |
| John Hickenlooper | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 99% | >99% | 99% | $14,798 | Open ↗ |
| Mark Baisley | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | $41,884 | Open ↗ |
| Mark Baisley | Polymarket | Republican wins | <1% | 2% | <1% | $37,316 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Colorado ballot
All 9 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll