Spurna.
Spurna.

Mark R. Warner

U.S. Senate · Virginia
On the ballot · Nov 3
$18M

Raised, 2025–26

  • Individuals$9.3M52%
  • PACs$2.1M12%
  • Transfers & other$6.5M36%

32% of the individual money came from small donors ($200 or less).

Top PAC industries

$2.3M
Office
PartyDemocrat
ChamberU.S. Senate
SeatVirginia (statewide)
Up for electionNov 3, 2026
Represents
VA-10 · Suhas SubramanyamVA-11 · James R. WalkinshawVA-9 · H. Morgan GriffithVA-3 · Robert C. 'Bobby' ScottVA-5 · John J. McGuire IIIVA-6 · Ben ClineVA-7 · Eugene Simon VindmanVA-1 · Robert J. WittmanVA-4 · Jennifer L. McClellanVA-8 · Donald S. Beyer, Jr.VA-2 · Jennifer A. Kiggans
All of Virginia
FollowCompare
On the ballot · Virginia Senate · Nov 398% party to win▲ 3 since April· vs. Mizusawa ↓
The campaign · in their words
markwarnerva.com · read Oct 19, 2026 ↗Page titles and first lines from the campaign’s own site, unedited

Where They Stand

Position from 377 bills and votes and 4 statements, starting from a reputation prior of L-lean 22 — click any issue to see the reputation, the record and the shift.

Solo viewvs. Mizusawa · 2026vs. pick…
Warner (you're viewing)
Overall
19
L-lean
LeftCenterRight
Track is neutral — only the dot's position and distance-from-center number carry meaning.
Odds over time · Kalshi daily closes · party to winApr 6 – Oct 27
100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTTODAY
  • Warner 98%▲ 3 since April
  • Mizusawa 2%▼ 1 since April
The race · VA Senate
Mark WarnerDemocrat · incumbent · L-lean 19 on the record98%
Bert MizusawaRepublican · challenger · Right 35 from statements2%
3519
54 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Mizusawa's page →
Money · raised, FEC to Sep 30
Mark Warner$19.9M
$10.2M from individuals · $6.7M itemized
Bert Mizusawa$1M
$797k from individuals · $420k itemized
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
Odds are a market close, not a poll

What They Care About

How this is measured

Bubble size = how much of Mark R. Warner's sponsored bills, cosponsorships, campaign statements and tweets go to each domain. Votes are left out because they follow committee seats; domains a member's committees handle are discounted a little. Anything from the last 6 months counts double, so a topic they are on about right now grows. Darker = they have broken with their own party more often on that topic: the share of party-line votes since 2009 where they voted against their party's majority (gray = fewer than 8 such votes). Based on 15 sponsored, 189 cosponsored, 14 statements, 571 topical tweets. Click a bubble to open what they support and the bills and tweets behind it; click it again to close.

Health care · 18% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 5 sponsored · 44 cosponsored · 2 statements · 108 tweets · broke with their party on 3 of 47 party-line votesHealth care 18%Federal budget, taxes and spending · 15% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 3 sponsored · 43 cosponsored · 2 statements · 205 tweets · broke with their party on 17 of 302 party-line votesFederal budget 15%Federal power and civil liberties · 13% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 2 sponsored · 14 cosponsored · 0 statements · 231 tweets · broke with their party on 0 of 36 party-line votesFederal power 13%Business, finance and labor · 11% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 2 sponsored · 20 cosponsored · 2 statements · 204 tweets · broke with their party on 11 of 87 party-line votesBusiness 11%Housing, transportation, technology and vice · 8% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 1 sponsored · 15 cosponsored · 2 statements · 67 tweets · broke with their party on 4 of 47 party-line votesHousing 8%Foreign policy, trade and defense · 7% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 0 sponsored · 7 cosponsored · 2 statements · 133 tweets · broke with their party on 14 of 102 party-line votesForeign policy 7%Energy, environment, land and agriculture · 5% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 1 sponsored · 10 cosponsored · 1 statements · 19 tweets · broke with their party on 11 of 109 party-line votesEnergy 5%Trade and industrial policy · 5% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 0 sponsored · 9 cosponsored · 2 statements · 38 tweets · broke with their party on 3 of 15 party-line votesTrade 5%Civil rights, gender and religion · 5% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 0 sponsored · 5 cosponsored · 0 statements · 64 tweets · broke with their party on 0 of 8 party-line votesCivil rights 5%Crime and justice · 4% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 0 sponsored · 5 cosponsored · 0 statements · 105 tweets · broke with their party on 1 of 23 party-line votesCrime 4%Elections, representation and accountability · 3% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 0 sponsored · 7 cosponsored · 1 statements · 2 tweets · broke with their party on 0 of 12 party-line votesElections 3%Immigration · 3% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 1 sponsored · 3 cosponsored · 0 statements · 28 tweets · broke with their party on 2 of 27 party-line votesImmigration 3%Education · 2% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 0 sponsored · 4 cosponsored · 0 statements · 23 tweets · broke with their party on 0 of 14 party-line votes2%Guns · 1% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 0 sponsored · 3 cosponsored · 0 statements · 5 tweets · broke with their party on 0 of 6 party-line votes1%
Rarely breaksOften breaks

Mark R. Warner

● Democrat · U.S. Senate · Virginia
Raised
$18M
2025–26 cycle
Top sector
$450k
retail & business
Overall
L-lean
19pt left
Actions
962
votes, bills, tweets
On the ballot · Nov 398% ▲ 3 · vs. Mizusawa ↓
The campaign · in their words
Lowering Costs ↗“The United States is 3.7 million homes short of meeting basic housing needs.”Universal Healthcare ↗“He believes that the only way to lower premiums and keep the health care system sustainable is to ensure every American has access to an affordable basic standard of care.”Roads, bridges and broadband ↗“As a primary author of the landmark bipartisan infrastructure bill, Mark secured funding to expand high-speed internet in rural Virginia and key transportation and infrastructure projects throughout the Commonwealth.”
From markwarnerva.com, unedited

Where They Stand

Overall
L-lean, 19 points from center
Dot = distance from center · band = 90% range

The 2026 Race

Race page →
Odds · Kalshi daily closes▲ 3
100%75%50%25%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPTODAY
Warner 98%Mizusawa 2%
The race · VA Senate
Mark WarnerDemocrat · incumbent · L-lean 19 on the record98%
Bert MizusawaRepublican · challenger · Right 35 from statements2%
3519
54 points apart · hollow = estimate, solid = record
Mizusawa's page →
Money · raised, FEC to Sep 30
Mark Warner$19.9M
$10.2M from individuals · $6.7M itemized
Bert Mizusawa$1M
$797k from individuals · $420k itemized
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
Odds are a market close, not a poll

What They Care About

Health care · 18% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 5 sponsored · 44 cosponsored · 2 statements · 108 tweets · broke with their party on 3 of 47 party-line votesHealth care 18%Federal budget, taxes and spending · 15% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 3 sponsored · 43 cosponsored · 2 statements · 205 tweets · broke with their party on 17 of 302 party-line votesBudget and taxes 15%Federal power and civil liberties · 13% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 2 sponsored · 14 cosponsored · 0 statements · 231 tweets · broke with their party on 0 of 36 party-line votesFederal power 13%Business, finance and labor · 11% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 2 sponsored · 20 cosponsored · 2 statements · 204 tweets · broke with their party on 11 of 87 party-line votesBusiness and labor 11%Housing, transportation, technology and vice · 8% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 1 sponsored · 15 cosponsored · 2 statements · 67 tweets · broke with their party on 4 of 47 party-line votes8%Foreign policy, trade and defense · 7% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 0 sponsored · 7 cosponsored · 2 statements · 133 tweets · broke with their party on 14 of 102 party-line votes7%Energy, environment, land and agriculture · 5% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 1 sponsored · 10 cosponsored · 1 statements · 19 tweets · broke with their party on 11 of 109 party-line votes5%Trade and industrial policy · 5% of Mark R. Warner's priorities · 0 sponsored · 9 cosponsored · 2 statements · 38 tweets · broke with their party on 3 of 15 party-line votes5%
8% Housing and tech7% Foreign policy5% Energy and land5% Trade
RarelyOften breaks

Who Pays

PAC money · 2025–26
SectorPACsAmountShare
Retail & business135$450k
Finance & insurance88$349k
Other politicians33$290k
Health care70$281k
Tech, media & telecom37$154k
Issue groups35$149k
Defense18$95k
Agriculture & food20$92k
Everything else99$408k
Raised $18M · 52% individuals · 12% pacs