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U.S. Senate · Wyoming · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Wyoming Senate
Harriet Hageman (Republican) against James Byrd (Democrat).
Where they stand · 57 points apart
Byrd is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Harriet HagemanrecordJames Byrdestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedHageman$2.7MByrd$41kItemized, named donorsHageman$706kByrd$22kNamed donorsHageman1,080Byrd45Itemized from WyomingHageman8%Byrd91%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“I have now completed 89 town halls in just 3.5 years! Want to know when I’m in your community? Sign up for my weekly newsletter here:” Hageman · X post · Oct 18 · ↗
“Let's bring Wyoming to Washington”
“He supports honest country-of-origin labeling” Byrd · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harriet Hageman | Kalshi | Republican wins | 98% | 99% | 98% | $16,587 | Open ↗ |
| Harriet Hageman | Polymarket | Republican wins | 98% | 99% | 98% | $15,290 | Open ↗ |
| James Byrd | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 2% | 2% | 2% | $13,084 | Open ↗ |
| James Byrd | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 1% | 3% | 2% | $6,159 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Wyoming ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll