U.S. House · Wyoming · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Wyoming House, at-large

Chuck Gray (Republican) against Lisa Kinney (Democrat).

Republican · challenger · estimate Right 41

96%party to win

vs.

Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 26

5%party to win

Where they stand · 66 points apart

Estimates

Hollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.

Chuck GrayestimateLisa Kinneyestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

4126

66 pts

Immigration

4528

73 pts ▸

Energy, environment, land and agriculture

4427

71 pts ▸

Health care

2828

55 pts ▸

Federal budget, taxes and spending

2323

45 pts ▸

FEC to Sep 30

RaisedGray

$2MKinney

$84kItemized, named donorsGray

$247kKinney

$53kNamed donorsGray

116Kinney

83Itemized from WyomingGray

72%Kinney

94%

The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

Campaign sites and X

“We need more coal fired power plants--period.” Gray · X post · Mar 24 · ↗

“Running For You!”

“we must keep public lands in public hands... I will fight every attempt to sell off our public lands.” Kinney · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Chuck Gray	Kalshi	Republican wins	96%	97%	96%	$3,478	Open ↗
Chuck Gray	Polymarket	Republican wins	96%	97%	96%	$25,333	Open ↗
Lisa Kinney	Kalshi	Democrat wins	4%	4%	4%	$15,504	Open ↗
Lisa Kinney	Polymarket	Democrat wins	3%	4%	5%	$29,662	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Wyoming ballot

Senate · open seat

Governor · open seat

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll