U.S. House · Vermont · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Vermont House, at-large

Becca Balint (Democrat, incumbent) against Gerald Malloy (Republican).

Becca Balint

Democrat · incumbent · record Left 39

96%party to win

vs.

Gerald Malloy

Republican · challenger · estimate Right 31

2%party to win

Where they stand · 70 points apart

Malloy is an estimate

Solid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.

Becca BalintrecordGerald Malloyestimate

Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart

Overall

3931

70 pts

Business, finance and labor

3740

77 pts ▸

Federal power and civil liberties

3938

77 pts ▸

Immigration

4228

69 pts ▸

Federal budget, taxes and spending

3533

68 pts ▸

Education

3828

66 pts ▸

Crime and justice

4027

66 pts ▸

Money

FEC to Sep 30

RaisedBalint

$1.1MMalloy

$164kItemized, named donorsBalint

$566kMalloy

$100kNamed donorsBalint

815Malloy

71Itemized from VermontBalint

59%Malloy

13%

The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“Change is possible.”

“It's simple: keep your behavior professional and respect your staff. If you can't do that, get out of Congress and go get some help.” Balint · X post · Aug 5 · ↗

“Work toward balanced budgets” Malloy · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4

Candidate	Platform	Contract	Bid	Ask	Last	Volume
Becca Balint	Kalshi	Democrat wins	96%	99%	99%	$769	Open ↗
Becca Balint	Polymarket	Democrat wins	96%	98%	96%	$14,110	Open ↗
Gerald Malloy	Kalshi	Republican wins	1%	4%	4%	$6,122	Open ↗
Gerald Malloy	Polymarket	Republican wins	2%	2%	2%	$37,337	Open ↗

Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.

Also on the Vermont ballot

Governor

Scott (R) 78% · Janoo (D/P) 23%

Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll