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Governor · Vermont · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Vermont Governor
Phil Scott (Republican, incumbent) against Amanda Janoo (Democrat / P).
Where they stand · 63 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Phil ScottestimateAmanda Janooestimate
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Listen, Learn, Lead”
“We can’t solve every problem by raising a tax.” Scott · X post · Oct 19 · ↗
“Together, we have everything we need to build a more prosperous, resilient, and democratic future.”
“Place a moratorium on AI data centers and make clear that Vermont is not for sale to the AI industry.” Janoo · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phil Scott | Kalshi | Republican wins | 77% | 78% | 78% | $364,618 | Open ↗ |
| Phil Scott | Polymarket | Republican wins | 78% | 80% | 78% | $138,532 | Open ↗ |
| Amanda Janoo | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 22% | 23% | 23% | $294,908 | Open ↗ |
| Amanda Janoo | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 20% | 22% | 22% | $147,125 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Vermont ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll