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U.S. House · Nevada · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Nevada House, district 4
Steven Horsford (Democrat, incumbent) against Cody K Whipple (Republican).
Where they stand · 51 points apart
Whipple is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Steven HorsfordrecordCody K Whippleestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedHorsford$4MWhipple$1.2MItemized, named donorsHorsford$1.3MWhipple$476kNamed donorsHorsford830Whipple591Itemized from NevadaHorsford23%Whipple53%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“Fighting for the People who Make Nevada Work.”
“Proven Leader. Fighting for Nevada's Future.”
“issues that matter, like lower taxes and costs” Whipple · X post · Sep 3 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Horsford | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 95% | 96% | 97% | $8,125 | Open ↗ |
| Steven Horsford | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 96% | 97% | 95% | $20,780 | Open ↗ |
| Cody K Whipple | Kalshi | Republican wins | 2% | 5% | 4% | $6,687 | Open ↗ |
| Cody K Whipple | Polymarket | Republican wins | 1% | 4% | 4% | $16,368 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Nevada ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll