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U.S. House · Alabama · Nov 3 · 7 days out
Alabama House, district 1
Jerry Carl (Republican) against Clyde Jones (Democrat).
Where they stand · 56 points apart
EstimatesHollow dots are read from each campaign’s own words; nobody here has a voting record yet. Biggest gaps first.
Jerry CarlestimateClyde Jonesestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedCarl$1.4MJones$184kItemized, named donorsCarl$617kJones$69kNamed donorsCarl355Jones115Itemized from AlabamaCarl73%Jones73%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“An America First warrior for Alabama's 1st District.”
“Kick Out Illegals & Build the Wall” Carl · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
“Cut Your Costs. Clean Up Congress. Care For All.”
“I believe in the expansion of Medicaid, and ACA Enhanced Premium Tax Credits to ease the burden of health care” Jones · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerry Carl | Kalshi | Republican wins | 96% | 99% | 98% | $2,441 | Open ↗ |
| Jerry Carl | Polymarket | Republican wins | 96% | 98% | 96% | $21,941 | Open ↗ |
| Clyde Jones | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 1% | 4% | 4% | $534 | Open ↗ |
| Clyde Jones | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 2% | 4% | 3% | $27,654 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Alabama ballot
All 8 →Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll