Spurna.
Spurna.
← All races
Governor · Alabama · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Alabama Governor

Tommy Tuberville (Republican) against Doug Jones (Democrat).

Tommy Tuberville
Republican · in Congress · record Right 32
94%▲ 3 since April
vs.
Doug Jones
Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 24
7%▼ 1 since April
100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTTODAY
100%75%50%25%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPTODAY
Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸

Where they stand · 56 points apart

Jones is an estimate

Solid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.

Tommy TubervillerecordDoug Jonesestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
3224
56 pts

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“The Social Security fund is projected to run out of its reserves in just a few years. But we can put a couple more years on the table if we end the RAMPANT FRAUD Democrats have allowed to take place. This is a HUGE step.” Tuberville · X post · Oct 20 · ↗

“Alabama's future is in your hands.”

“impose a one-year moratorium on new state and local approvals for AI data centers above 20 megawatts” Jones · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Tommy TubervilleKalshiRepublican wins93%94%94%$55,896Open ↗
Tommy TubervillePolymarketRepublican wins94%96%97%$27,396Open ↗
Doug JonesKalshiDemocrat wins6%7%7%$146,687Open ↗
Doug JonesPolymarketDemocrat wins4%6%6%$22,376Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Alabama ballot
All 8 →
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll