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U.S. Senate · West Virginia · Nov 3 · 7 days out
West Virginia Senate
Shelley Moore Capito (Republican, incumbent) against Rachel Fetty Anderson (Democrat).
Also running
Where they stand · 41 points apart
Anderson is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Shelley Moore CapitorecordRachel Fetty Andersonestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedCapito$5.3MAnderson$137kItemized, named donorsCapito$2.6MAnderson$60kNamed donorsCapito1,527Anderson97Itemized from West VirginiaCapito24%Anderson87%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“WEST VIRGINIA'S CONSERVATIVE CHAMPION”
“As we’ve traveled across West Virginia this fall it is clear the momentum is on our side! Early voting starts tomorrow — make sure to check your county’s location here ✅⬇️” Capito · X post · Oct 20 · ↗
“We will fight for a moratorium on data center development. We will support our communities to reclaim local control over standards, zoning and taxes.” Anderson · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shelley Moore Capito | Kalshi | Republican wins | 98% | 98% | 98% | $10,752 | Open ↗ |
| Shelley Moore Capito | Polymarket | Republican wins | 97% | 99% | 99% | $11,591 | Open ↗ |
| Rachel Fetty Anderson | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | $27,218 | Open ↗ |
| Rachel Fetty Anderson | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 2% | 3% | 3% | $7,646 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the West Virginia ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll