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U.S. House · North Dakota · Nov 3 · 7 days out
North Dakota House, at-large
Julie Fedorchak (Republican, incumbent) against Trygve Hammer (Democrat).
Where they stand · 44 points apart
Hammer is an estimateSolid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.
Julie FedorchakrecordTrygve Hammerestimate
Money
FEC to Sep 30RaisedFedorchak$2.1MHammer$341kItemized, named donorsFedorchak$469kHammer$160kNamed donorsFedorchak356Hammer344Itemized from North DakotaFedorchak56%Hammer71%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.
In their own words
Campaign sites and X“It's time to put the government to work for all of us.”
“Congress is supposed to have a say in these things.” Hammer · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗
All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
| Candidate | Platform | Contract | Bid | Ask | Last | Volume | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julie Fedorchak | Kalshi | Republican wins | 98% | 98% | 97% | $3,372 | Open ↗ |
| Julie Fedorchak | Polymarket | Republican wins | 96% | 98% | 96% | $44,280 | Open ↗ |
| Trygve Hammer | Kalshi | Democrat wins | 1% | 3% | 3% | $6,836 | Open ↗ |
| Trygve Hammer | Polymarket | Democrat wins | 2% | 4% | 2% | $16,808 | Open ↗ |
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll