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U.S. Senate · Louisiana · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Louisiana Senate

Julia Letlow (Republican) against Jamie Davis (Democrat).

Julia Letlow
Republican · in Congress · record Right 25
91%▼ 2 since April
vs.
Jamie Davis
Democrat · challenger · estimate Left 24
10%▲ 2 since April
100%90%80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPOCTTODAY
100%75%50%25%0%MAYJUNJULAUGSEPTODAY
Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸

Where they stand · 49 points apart

Davis is an estimate

Solid is a voting record; hollow is read from the campaign’s own words. Biggest gaps first.

Julia LetlowrecordJamie Davisestimate
Issue · biggest gap firstLeftCenterRightApart
Overall
2524
49 pts

Money

FEC to Sep 30
RaisedLetlow
$7MDavis
$4MItemized, named donorsLetlow
$1.4MDavis
$861kNamed donorsLetlow
741Davis
2,120Itemized from LouisianaLetlow
51%Davis
29%
The FEC doesn't name donors who give under $200, so their gifts count in Raised but not Itemized.

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“Great step forward for women's health! Thank you @POTUS and First Lady Melania Trump for working to close research gaps by creating a new Women's Health Division at the @NIH.” Letlow · X post · Oct 19 · ↗

“Louisiana First is Common Sense.”

“Lower prescription drug prices using Medicare's buying power, not pharma's pricing power.” Davis · Campaign site · Sep 29 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Julia LetlowKalshiRepublican wins91%91%91%$41,525Open ↗
Julia LetlowPolymarketRepublican wins90%91%90%$29,022Open ↗
Jamie DavisKalshiDemocrat wins9%10%10%$104,004Open ↗
Jamie DavisPolymarketDemocrat wins9%10%11%$38,548Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Louisiana ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll