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Governor · Guam · Nov 3 · 7 days out

Guam Governor

Tony Ada (Republican) against Therese Terlaje (Democrat). Ada is up 54 points on the markets since July.

Tony Ada
Republican · challenger · no positions yet
69%▲ 54 since July
vs.
Therese Terlaje
Democrat · challenger · estimate L-lean 18
28%▲ 3 since July
80%70%60%50%40%30%20%10%0%AUGSEPOCTTODAY
75%50%25%0%AUGSEPOCTTODAY
Party to win · Kalshi daily close, Oct 27All market contracts ▸

Where they stand

Estimates

Read from the campaign’s own words; no voting record yet.

Therese Terlajeestimate
IssueLeftCenterRight
Overall
18

In their own words

Campaign sites and X

“Your Voice Matters”

“Public Law 38-129 Prohibits deep-sea mining within Guam waters.” Terlaje · Campaign site · Sep 30 · ↗

All market contracts · Kalshi and Polymarket · 4
CandidatePlatformContractBidAskLastVolume
Tony AdaKalshithis candidate67%69%69%$20,597Open ↗
Tony AdaPolymarketRepublican wins67%78%71%$4,902Open ↗
Therese TerlajeKalshithis candidate25%31%28%$11,851Open ↗
Therese TerlajePolymarketDemocrat wins23%27%27%$4,675Open ↗
Prices in cents on the dollar, read Oct 27, 2026. A party contract pays if that party wins the seat.
Also on the Guam ballot
Statement estimate · odds are a market close, not a poll